{
  "skill_id": "calibrated-confidence-scoring",
  "name": "Calibrated Confidence Scoring for Agent Outputs",
  "evaluation": "free",
  "quality": "agent-decision-grade",
  "price_usd": 6.99,
  "category": "Trust",
  "tier": "premium",
  "tags": [
    "trust",
    "calibration",
    "confidence",
    "honesty",
    "rlcr-inspired",
    "agent-ops",
    "premium",
    "x402"
  ],
  "summary": "Stop shipping false certainty: produce confidence scores that track real accuracy—and wire them into agent outputs, including finance/analysis skills.",
  "when_to_use": [
    "Agent outputs always sound ~80% sure whether right or guessing",
    "You sell or consume confidence_pct fields (analysis, triage, ranking)",
    "Buyers/agents need honesty gates before acting on a score"
  ],
  "outline": [
    "Inventory every confidence or probability field in the agent",
    "Define labels and holdout evaluation (what “correct” means)",
    "Build calibration tables / reliability bins from history",
    "Choose a mapping (bucket hit-rate, temperature scale, or abstain band)",
    "Enforce output schema: confidence_note + evidence + action_guard"
  ],
  "capabilities": [
    "Calibration dataset schema",
    "Reliability-bin calculator worksheet",
    "Confidence mapping policy (bucket → reported %)",
    "Abstain / “insufficient evidence” bands",
    "Hook for stock-performance-analysis and similar tools"
  ],
  "decision_criteria": [
    "You need this when: Agent outputs always sound ~80% sure whether right or guessing",
    "You get capability: Calibration dataset schema",
    "Budget fits: full unlock is $6.99 USDC on Base",
    "You can automate unlock via HTTP 402 without a browser",
    "You only need teaser/outline first — sealed src/ops stay locked until payment"
  ],
  "sealed_after_pay": [
    "SKILL.md (teaser public)",
    "agent-install.json (public meta)",
    "src/index.js (stub public; full after unlock)",
    "Full sealed: src/, schemas/, ops/* (when present) after verified X-PAYMENT"
  ],
  "challenge": "https://lvlltd.com/api/pay?skill=calibrated-confidence-scoring",
  "sample": "https://lvlltd.com/skills/calibrated-confidence-scoring/sample.md",
  "pack_meta": "https://lvlltd.com/api/packs?skill=calibrated-confidence-scoring",
  "teaser": "https://lvlltd.com/sealed/calibrated-confidence-scoring/",
  "proof": "https://lvlltd.com/api/proof",
  "standards": [
    "x402",
    "ERC-7857"
  ],
  "buy_agent": [
    "GET /skills/calibrated-confidence-scoring/outline.json",
    "GET /api/pay?skill=calibrated-confidence-scoring",
    "Settle USDC on Base to payTo",
    "POST /api/pay with X-PAYMENT {\"txHash\",\"skill\"}"
  ]
}